Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.005765 0.006098 0.006444 0.006831 0.007251 0.007696 0.008202
2026-01-11 0.005167 0.005646 0.006167 0.006778 0.007480 0.008266 0.009219
2026-01-18 0.004812 0.005372 0.006001 0.006765 0.007676 0.008739 0.010087
2026-01-25 0.004518 0.005128 0.005829 0.006704 0.007779 0.009077 0.010789
2026-02-01 0.004385 0.005053 0.005838 0.006842 0.008115 0.009701 0.011876
2026-02-08 0.004192 0.004889 0.005723 0.006813 0.008226 0.010037 0.012605
2026-02-15 0.004036 0.004758 0.005637 0.006807 0.008358 0.010399 0.013385
2026-02-22 0.003857 0.004587 0.005489 0.006708 0.008355 0.010571 0.013903
2026-03-01 0.003700 0.004437 0.005357 0.006619 0.008355 0.010740 0.014422
2026-03-08 0.003592 0.004343 0.005292 0.006613 0.008464 0.011061 0.015187
2026-03-15 0.003413 0.004148 0.005086 0.006406 0.008277 0.010943 0.015262
2026-03-22 0.003336 0.004084 0.005050 0.006427 0.008412 0.011300 0.016107
2026-03-29 0.003282 0.004050 0.005052 0.006503 0.008632 0.011802 0.017240
2026-04-05 0.003186 0.003955 0.004970 0.006454 0.008664 0.012017 0.017914
2026-04-12 0.003109 0.003884 0.004915 0.006441 0.008749 0.012316 0.018758
2026-04-19 0.003022 0.003796 0.004833 0.006384 0.008761 0.012497 0.019404
2026-04-26 0.003003 0.003798 0.004877 0.006513 0.009066 0.013176 0.021032
2026-05-03 0.002934 0.003730 0.004818 0.006485 0.009121 0.013437 0.021897
2026-05-10 0.002876 0.003675 0.004776 0.006480 0.009210 0.013762 0.022917
2026-05-17 0.002794 0.003584 0.004680 0.006388 0.009152 0.013823 0.023409
2026-05-24 0.002720 0.003502 0.004592 0.006305 0.009105 0.013900 0.023941
2026-05-31 0.002671 0.003455 0.004555 0.006300 0.009186 0.014211 0.025003
2026-06-07 0.002571 0.003331 0.004402 0.006106 0.008940 0.013908 0.024691